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I still like Denver if they get their tight-end back so Manning has a few more passing targets. They lost their HB but the new guy CJ Anderson is running in like 2 or 3 TDs a game at the moment. Pats, Packers and Seattle still hard to beat teams as well but it changes so quickly each week because an injury to a key player does so much damage in the NFL.
I feel partiots can play just that bit better away from home.
The one team I forgot to mention is seattle, they are starting to really hit top form. I will be surprised if a team outside Patriots, seattle or GB win superbowl.